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Editor’s Note

Welcome to the September/October issue of the Durand Dispatch: Strategic Messaging, our monthly briefing that examines how non-state actors across the Afghanistan–Pakistan region shape perception, frame legitimacy, and assert influence through media and narrative construction. This newsletter complements our Durand Dispatch: Perspectives Series, which covers a wider range of topics including militancy, Afghanistan-Pakistan relations, and security dynamics across South/Central Asia. Together, the two provide a fuller understanding of how strategic messaging intersects with on-the-ground dynamics.

September 2025 recorded fewer militant attacks than August, yet the month’s significance lies in its qualitative shifts. Groups that once refused coordination now display synchronized targeting patterns; foreign fighters surfaced within TTP ranks through verified audio communications; and Pakistan’s revocation of a key militant leader’s religious credentials provoked direct threats against named clerics and journalists.

Highlights from the September Assessment

  • Organizational Convergence Indicators of coordination between entities that formally rejected cooperation as recently as 2020, now exhibit coordinated patterns in targeting and attribution

  • ·Transnational Networks Primary-source evidence indicates the presence of foreign fighters from Bangladesh and the Arab world through religious and ideological conduits.

  • Propaganda Adaptation – Multilingual, cross-platform content and the introduction of cryptocurrency mechanisms illustrate militants’ rapid adaptation to digital constraints

  • ·Regional Divergence  Infrastructure restrictions correlate with a reduction in Baloch separatist operations, even as jihadist networks intensify activity across Waziristan and Orakzai.

  • ·Narrative Contestation – State-led delegitimization campaigns triggered a multi-platform counter-narrative war targeting Pakistan’s religious establishment and media community.

👉 Access the complete brief and supporting visuals and metrics, in the members-only edition at DurandDispatch.com or subscribe here

👉 Catch up on our Durand Dispatch Perspectives, September Collection.

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