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Welcome to The Durand Dispatch, a monthly review of security, militancy, and geopolitical developments across the Afghanistan-Pakistan region and the broader South/Central Asian landscape. This issue provides an overview of key events that took place during April 2025, highlighting their potential regional and international security implications.

Unfortunately, South Asia witnessed a serious deterioration in regional stability, with tensions between India and Pakistan reaching a new crisis point following the devastating Pahalgam attack in April – where militants killed 26 civilians in one of the deadliest attacks on civilians in Kashmir. In the aftermath, both nuclear-armed countries severed diplomatic ties, closed borders, and suspended bilateral agreements, with India alleging Pakistani state complicity while Islamabad firmly rejected the claims. Additionally, a series of regional and international developments reveal an evolving geopolitical landscape where multiple actors pursue their strategic interests across the region: the landmark U.S. extradition of Tahawwur Rana to India, Russia's removal of the Taliban from its terrorist list, and Central Asia’s strategic realignment. Counterterrorism cooperation remains important but is increasingly influenced by changing regional alignments. This issue also examines security vulnerabilities in the region, such as the proliferation of sophisticated American weapons among militant groups, as well as propaganda dissemination by various militant groups, including the Tehrik-i-Taliban (TTP), Al-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS), and Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP).

As always, we strive to provide measured analysis while incorporating diverse perspectives on these complex regional dynamics.

  • In the News: Regional & International Perspectives

  • Strategic Messaging: Key Messages & Narratives

  • Miscellaneous: New Reports & Articles

Download the full issue here.

Durand Dispatch AprilMay .pdf

Durand Dispatch April/May 2025

13.24 MBPDF File

In the News

Regional

  • Pakistan and India Tensions

  • Pakistan’s Counterterrorism &  Security Operations

  • Water Wars: Pakistan's Compounding Crisis

  • Pakistan–Afghanistan Relations 

  • Taliban Revive Public Executions, Faces International Backlash

International

  • U.S. Extradites Alleged Mumbai Attack Co-Conspirator

  • Russia Moves to Remove Taliban from Terrorist List

  • Weapons, Terror, and Trade: U.S.-Pakistan Relations at a Crossroads

  • Central Asia’s Strategic Realignments: April’s Underrated Security Reset

  • Islamic State Supporter Sentenced for Recruitment and Obstruction

  • Pakistan's Multi-Vector Defense Diplomacy

  • Clerical Calls for Jihad Against Israel

Strategic Messaging

Tehrik-i-Taliban

  • Operational Surge and Expansion

  • Shaping Tribal Perceptions and Building Legitimacy

  • Urban Targeting

  • Mujallah Binnat: Mobilizing Women and Framing Resistance

  • Manzil:  Deconstructing State Legitimacy; Zer e Nazar: Exploitation of Grievances; The Criterion: Accusing State Collusion and Ending Economic Ceasefire

Al-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent

  • Leveraging Gaza and Muslim Suffering for Recruitment

  • As-Sahab Media: Messaging Discipline and Collective Action

  • Jihadi Yaadain Series: Glorifying Martyrdom

  • Nawa e Ghazwa e Hind Magazine: Historicizing Jihad and Broadening Appeal

Islamic State Khorasan Province

  • Promoting Jihad, Soliciting Financial Support and Discrediting Rivals

  • Delegitimizing the Taliban

  • Foreign Fighter Recruitment

  • Historical Religious Figures

  • Cyber Vulnerabilities

Baloch Ethno-Nationalist Organisations

  • Sustained Attacks and Targeted Killings

  • Glorification of Suicide Bombers and Female Militants

  • Retaliatory Violence

Future Monitor

  • Ittihad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan

  • Jabhaat Al-Ribaat

Miscellaneous

Official Reports & Statements

Security & Governance

Militancy & Extremism

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